⚡ TL;DR
Use statement-based questions (which are ~40–50% of paper) systematically: identify one definitely-true or definitely-false statement to halve the options. Never guess all-4-unknown questions.
Types of questions and elimination approach:
1. Statement-based questions (approx. 40–50% of paper): Format: 'Which of the following statements is/are correct? (a) Only 1, (b) 1 and 2, (c) 2 and 3, (d) All'
- Strategy: If you know Statement 2 is definitely FALSE, eliminate all options containing 2 → options (c) and (d) gone → now 50/50 between (a) and (b) → attempt
- If you know Statement 1 is definitely TRUE, options not containing 1 → (c) eliminated → narrowed to 3
2. Best/Most appropriate answer questions:
- Often 2 options seem correct — look for the most complete or most UPSC-relevant answer
- Government policy questions: The answer is almost always the most recent official policy stance
3. Match-the-following / pairing questions:
- Anchor technique: If you know one correct pair definitively, eliminate all options that don't include it
- E.g., if you know Pair 1 → A, and only options (b) and (d) have 1-A, you've narrowed to 50/50
4. Pure factual (single-answer) questions:
- If totally unknown: skip in Round 1, return in Round 2 only if gut instinct exists
- Never guess when all 4 options are equally unknown — EV = 0, not worth the 0.667 risk
Expected value summary:
| Confidence level | Options eliminated | EV |
|---|---|---|
| Know correct answer | 3 | +2.00 |
| 50/50 (2 options) | 2 | +0.67 |
| 1 eliminated (3 left) | 1 | +0.22 |
| No elimination (4 options) | 0 | 0.00 |
| Guess randomly | 0 | 0.00 |
BharatNotes